MARKET·Middle East·Public record
Will 40 Ships Transit the Strait of Hormuz on Any Day by July 31 2026?
A public prediction-market contract on Polymarket. This page reports the venue-canonical settled outcome and aggregate on-chain activity — a factual record, not a finding.
Resolved fact
This market resolved to YES under its venue-canonical settlement record. RINGER reads settlement from the venue’s own resolved outcome, never from a price feed — the outcome below is the market’s official result.
2,355fills recorded
379distinct wallets active
$308,431notional volume (USDC)
YESvenue-canonical outcome
June 29, 2026first trade
July 7, 2026last trade
| Category | Middle East |
|---|---|
| Outcome (venue-canonical) | YES |
| Fills | 2,355 |
| Distinct wallets active | 379 |
| Notional volume | $308,431 USDC |
| Trading window | June 29, 2026 – July 7, 2026 |
| Condition ID | 0x7905865e603b1ca3f443319ecaf13675d8265c299d072c60ac175bcb3758c164 |
| Market slug | will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-2026 |
379 distinct wallets traded this contract. RINGER observes every public fill on the trade tape; a wallet appearing here means it placed at least one public trade in this market — nothing more. Aggregate counts describe activity, not intent.
How RINGER reads outcomes and what it can — and cannot — conclude: the methodologyAll markets →