MARKET·Tech·Public record
Will Openai Release a New Frontier Model on or Before September 30 2026?
A public prediction-market contract on Polymarket. This page reports the venue-canonical settled outcome and aggregate on-chain activity — a factual record, not a finding.
Resolved fact
This market resolved to YES under its venue-canonical settlement record. RINGER reads settlement from the venue’s own resolved outcome, never from a price feed — the outcome below is the market’s official result.
1,979fills recorded
450distinct wallets active
$25,161notional volume (USDC)
YESvenue-canonical outcome
May 2, 2026first trade
July 10, 2026last trade
| Category | Tech |
|---|---|
| Outcome (venue-canonical) | YES |
| Fills | 1,979 |
| Distinct wallets active | 450 |
| Notional volume | $25,161 USDC |
| Trading window | May 2, 2026 – July 10, 2026 |
| Condition ID | 0xe710127903f17a408ec46d332f0b524f987d472c15605b63b2ee67ac6ffbd75e |
| Market slug | will-openai-release-a-new-frontier-model-on-or-before-september-30-2026-662-175 |
450 distinct wallets traded this contract. RINGER observes every public fill on the trade tape; a wallet appearing here means it placed at least one public trade in this market — nothing more. Aggregate counts describe activity, not intent.
How RINGER reads outcomes and what it can — and cannot — conclude: the methodologyAll markets →