Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
MARKET·Middle East·Public record

Will the US Announce a Blockade on Iran by August 31?

A public prediction-market contract on Polymarket. This page reports the venue-canonical settled outcome and aggregate on-chain activity — a factual record, not a finding.

Resolved fact

This market resolved to YES under its venue-canonical settlement record. RINGER reads settlement from the venue’s own resolved outcome, never from a price feed — the outcome below is the market’s official result.

3,342fills recorded
467distinct wallets active
$332,640notional volume (USDC)
YESvenue-canonical outcome
July 7, 2026first trade
July 13, 2026last trade
CategoryMiddle East
Outcome (venue-canonical)YES
Fills3,342
Distinct wallets active467
Notional volume$332,640 USDC
Trading windowJuly 7, 2026July 13, 2026
Condition ID0xd7d6bcbc6c1201251e42ba47062f2cf33dd45922afca02dda1c2da8081013ad0
Market slugwill-the-us-announce-a-blockade-on-iran-by-august-31

467 distinct wallets traded this contract. RINGER observes every public fill on the trade tape; a wallet appearing here means it placed at least one public trade in this market — nothing more. Aggregate counts describe activity, not intent.

How RINGER reads outcomes and what it can — and cannot — conclude: the methodologyAll markets →