MARKET·Middle East·Public record
Will the US Announce a Blockade on Iran by July 31?
A public prediction-market contract on Polymarket. This page reports the venue-canonical settled outcome and aggregate on-chain activity — a factual record, not a finding.
Resolved fact
This market resolved to YES under its venue-canonical settlement record. RINGER reads settlement from the venue’s own resolved outcome, never from a price feed — the outcome below is the market’s official result.
15,577fills recorded
1,941distinct wallets active
$1,854,350notional volume (USDC)
YESvenue-canonical outcome
June 22, 2026first trade
July 13, 2026last trade
| Category | Middle East |
|---|---|
| Outcome (venue-canonical) | YES |
| Fills | 15,577 |
| Distinct wallets active | 1,941 |
| Notional volume | $1,854,350 USDC |
| Trading window | June 22, 2026 – July 13, 2026 |
| Condition ID | 0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a |
| Market slug | will-the-us-announce-a-blockade-on-iran-by-july-31-20260622191116912 |
1,941 distinct wallets traded this contract. RINGER observes every public fill on the trade tape; a wallet appearing here means it placed at least one public trade in this market — nothing more. Aggregate counts describe activity, not intent.
How RINGER reads outcomes and what it can — and cannot — conclude: the methodologyAll markets →