RIGCHECK·Detection, not adviceCoordinated · favorite-carry
GLASS ANVIL — one operator, ten wallets on US-Iran diplomacy markets (RING-0001)
9 of 10 wallets seeded by one on-chain funder (0xc536...aaf41) — provably one operator, +0.052 edge-over-price only
- 10 funding-linked wallets deployed $69,913 across 13 US-Iran markets, June 7-21, 2026; one wallet (0xf0d5...c665) holds $67,175 = 96% of the capital.
- 98% of settled positions resolved their way — but at an average entry price of 0.93 (deep favorites the market already expected).
- Edge over closing price is real (+5 cents) but sits entirely inside one correlated news story.
- Detector classifies this as favorite-carry, NOT an information signature: no long-odds pre-event buying, unlike TEHRAN NINE (avg entry 0.463).
- Contrast pair: same detection method, opposite species — GLASS ANVIL = coordination WITHOUT foresight signature; TEHRAN NINE = coordination WITH it.
A single operator split money across ten wallets and won by buying near-certain favorites — coordination is provable, but there is no sign they knew anything the market didn't.
What this does & doesn’t claim
This is the tool NOT crying wolf: coordination is verifiable via the shared funder, but we explicitly flag it as favorite-carry, not insider information. No claim of non-public information, no allegation against any person, and no repeatable edge to copy.
ringer.report · wallets, not people · we don’t trade what we flagdocs/ringer-report-0-glass-anvil.md — funding-graph v1 clustering; shared funder 0xc536633ff12ee52e280b2af2594031060c5aaf41 (public on Polygonscan).
Flagged account? appeals@ringer.report · every claim appealable, human review within 5 business daysHow RINGER works →