0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x081a3b357baafc91af26f83f622e2652668c66d0 |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 111 |
| Wins | 44 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 42.1 |
| Win rate | 40% |
| Notional volume | $6,369 USDC |
| Categories | Tech, Middle East, Elections, Geopolitics, Commodities Oil, Culture Politics, Finance |
| First seen on-chain | May 27, 2023 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 111 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 44 against an expectation of 42.1. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Tech, Middle East, Elections, Geopolitics, Commodities Oil, Culture Politics, Finance.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.