0x11f864798150a6749b94570fe065c27e8bd91c4e
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x11f864798150a6749b94570fe065c27e8bd91c4e |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 156 |
| Wins | 84 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 80.1 |
| Win rate | 54% |
| Notional volume | $23,263 USDC |
| Categories | Middle East, Finance, Culture Politics, Elections, Tech, Politics, Geopolitics, Commodities Oil, Other News |
| First seen on-chain | June 9, 2026 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 156 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 84 against an expectation of 80.1. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Finance, Culture Politics, Elections, Tech, Politics, Geopolitics, Commodities Oil, Other News.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.