Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x12ed45d2b45259d27a7fb593e564cd269c4fc9b4

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
33settled bets
8wins
9.9odds-implied expected wins
24%win rate
$36,852notional volume (USDC)
first seen on-chain
Address0x12ed45d2b45259d27a7fb593e564cd269c4fc9b4
Settled bets33
Wins8
Odds-implied expected wins9.9
Win rate24%
Notional volume$36,852 USDC
CategoriesCulture Politics
First seen on-chain

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 33 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 8 against an expectation of 9.9. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans the category: Culture Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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