Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
23settled bets
13wins
14.1odds-implied expected wins
56%win rate
$66,472notional volume (USDC)
March 27, 2025first seen on-chain
Address0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
Settled bets23
Wins13
Odds-implied expected wins14.1
Win rate56%
Notional volume$66,472 USDC
CategoriesElections, Middle East, Politics
First seen on-chainMarch 27, 2025

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 23 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 13 against an expectation of 14.1. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Elections, Middle East, Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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