Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x260b7f773a5727f6d11fe425eaa897553328aa9e

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
30settled bets
15wins
14.0odds-implied expected wins
50%win rate
$575notional volume (USDC)
first seen on-chain
Address0x260b7f773a5727f6d11fe425eaa897553328aa9e
Settled bets30
Wins15
Odds-implied expected wins14.0
Win rate50%
Notional volume$575 USDC
CategoriesMiddle East, Geopolitics
First seen on-chain

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 30 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 15 against an expectation of 14.0. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Geopolitics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

Descriptive statistics only · wallets, not peopleAll wallets →