Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x30fb41b5a08fff5d3dd983f6323e3343931a7db4

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
74settled bets
41wins
39.1odds-implied expected wins
55%win rate
$15,765notional volume (USDC)
first seen on-chain
Address0x30fb41b5a08fff5d3dd983f6323e3343931a7db4
Settled bets74
Wins41
Odds-implied expected wins39.1
Win rate55%
Notional volume$15,765 USDC
CategoriesFinance, Culture Politics, Tech, Middle East, Elections, Other News, Commodities Oil
First seen on-chain

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 74 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 41 against an expectation of 39.1. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Finance, Culture Politics, Tech, Middle East, Elections, Other News, Commodities Oil.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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