0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3 |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 29 |
| Wins | 21 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 17.5 |
| Win rate | 72% |
| Notional volume | $99,691 USDC |
| Categories | Commodities Oil, Tech |
| First seen on-chain | October 27, 2025 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 29 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 21 against an expectation of 17.5. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Commodities Oil, Tech.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.