0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1 |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 18 |
| Wins | 14 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 15.0 |
| Win rate | 78% |
| Notional volume | $268,447 USDC |
| Categories | Politics, Elections, Other News, Culture Politics, Middle East, Tech |
| First seen on-chain | January 13, 2024 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 18 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 14 against an expectation of 15.0. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Politics, Elections, Other News, Culture Politics, Middle East, Tech.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.