Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
34settled bets
33wins
33.1odds-implied expected wins
97%win rate
$126,050notional volume (USDC)
September 24, 2024first seen on-chain
Address0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
Settled bets34
Wins33
Odds-implied expected wins33.1
Win rate97%
Notional volume$126,050 USDC
CategoriesCulture Politics, Middle East
First seen on-chainSeptember 24, 2024

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 34 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 33 against an expectation of 33.1. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Culture Politics, Middle East.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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