0x5040b5e76b45aeff6ccbb21b1aad0ccc2fa296cf
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x5040b5e76b45aeff6ccbb21b1aad0ccc2fa296cf |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 8 |
| Wins | 2 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 1.7 |
| Win rate | 25% |
| Notional volume | $283 USDC |
| Categories | Middle East, Politics |
| First seen on-chain | October 4, 2025 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 8 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 2 against an expectation of 1.7. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Politics.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.