Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
41settled bets
21wins
22.3odds-implied expected wins
51%win rate
$1,426notional volume (USDC)
April 16, 2026first seen on-chain
Address0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4
Settled bets41
Wins21
Odds-implied expected wins22.3
Win rate51%
Notional volume$1,426 USDC
CategoriesMiddle East, Geopolitics, Politics
First seen on-chainApril 16, 2026

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 41 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 21 against an expectation of 22.3. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Geopolitics, Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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