0x9238743eeba8bbfe9e85ac7ba2e1e3d77877b73e
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0x9238743eeba8bbfe9e85ac7ba2e1e3d77877b73e |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 16 |
| Wins | 2 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 4.0 |
| Win rate | 13% |
| Notional volume | $863 USDC |
| Categories | Middle East, Geopolitics |
| First seen on-chain | December 15, 2024 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 16 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 2 against an expectation of 4.0. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Geopolitics.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.