Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
47settled bets
35wins
34.4odds-implied expected wins
75%win rate
$182,456notional volume (USDC)
February 11, 2024first seen on-chain
Address0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
Settled bets47
Wins35
Odds-implied expected wins34.4
Win rate75%
Notional volume$182,456 USDC
CategoriesTech, Finance, Elections, Culture Politics, Middle East, Politics, Other News
First seen on-chainFebruary 11, 2024

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 47 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 35 against an expectation of 34.4. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Tech, Finance, Elections, Culture Politics, Middle East, Politics, Other News.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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