Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
29settled bets
22wins
21.3odds-implied expected wins
76%win rate
$39,851notional volume (USDC)
January 17, 2025first seen on-chain
Address0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
Settled bets29
Wins22
Odds-implied expected wins21.3
Win rate76%
Notional volume$39,851 USDC
CategoriesElections, Tech, Middle East, Culture Politics, Politics
First seen on-chainJanuary 17, 2025

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 29 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 22 against an expectation of 21.3. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Elections, Tech, Middle East, Culture Politics, Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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