Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xbefa95c276ee8ef6ff3ef43d1c1c454f52bc300d

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
8settled bets
0wins
0.2odds-implied expected wins
0%win rate
$527notional volume (USDC)
August 25, 2025first seen on-chain
Address0xbefa95c276ee8ef6ff3ef43d1c1c454f52bc300d
Settled bets8
Wins0
Odds-implied expected wins0.2
Win rate0%
Notional volume$527 USDC
CategoriesMiddle East
First seen on-chainAugust 25, 2025

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 8 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 0 against an expectation of 0.2. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans the category: Middle East.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

Descriptive statistics only · wallets, not peopleAll wallets →