Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xc78d45a110d2a8b0f9682d4f5d6ceedf432787eb

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
3settled bets
3wins
2.9odds-implied expected wins
100%win rate
$245notional volume (USDC)
January 28, 2026first seen on-chain
Address0xc78d45a110d2a8b0f9682d4f5d6ceedf432787eb
Settled bets3
Wins3
Odds-implied expected wins2.9
Win rate100%
Notional volume$245 USDC
CategoriesMiddle East
First seen on-chainJanuary 28, 2026

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 3 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 3 against an expectation of 2.9. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans the category: Middle East.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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