Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xcba38f8e07955a5f45816753d7c4a6ae8af06055

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
9settled bets
4wins
3.9odds-implied expected wins
44%win rate
$10,305notional volume (USDC)
first seen on-chain
Address0xcba38f8e07955a5f45816753d7c4a6ae8af06055
Settled bets9
Wins4
Odds-implied expected wins3.9
Win rate44%
Notional volume$10,305 USDC
CategoriesCulture Politics
First seen on-chain

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 9 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 4 against an expectation of 3.9. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans the category: Culture Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

Descriptive statistics only · wallets, not peopleAll wallets →