Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xcbbc4c8802f6d061504c9d670a181508cf42ea5a

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
3settled bets
3wins
2.5odds-implied expected wins
100%win rate
$13,503notional volume (USDC)
November 5, 2024first seen on-chain
Address0xcbbc4c8802f6d061504c9d670a181508cf42ea5a
Settled bets3
Wins3
Odds-implied expected wins2.5
Win rate100%
Notional volume$13,503 USDC
CategoriesElections, Culture Politics
First seen on-chainNovember 5, 2024

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 3 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 3 against an expectation of 2.5. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Elections, Culture Politics.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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