0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532 |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 10 |
| Wins | 3 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 4.3 |
| Win rate | 30% |
| Notional volume | $4,863 USDC |
| Categories | Elections, Middle East, Politics |
| First seen on-chain | October 1, 2024 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 10 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 3 against an expectation of 4.3. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Elections, Middle East, Politics.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.