0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.
| Address | 0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2 |
|---|---|
| Settled bets | 10 |
| Wins | 6 |
| Odds-implied expected wins | 6.5 |
| Win rate | 60% |
| Notional volume | $4,054 USDC |
| Categories | Middle East, Other News, Culture Politics, Tech |
| First seen on-chain | November 17, 2025 |
Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 10 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 6 against an expectation of 6.5. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.
Recorded activity spans categories: Middle East, Other News, Culture Politics, Tech.
This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.