Prediction-market integrity intelligencePublic data only · Wallets, not people
RINGER.report
WALLET·Public record

0xde0463ea7f611b065e8ab06bbfbddad75e6dfa37

Descriptive statistics for a public prediction-market wallet address. The figures below are its public betting record — nothing here is a finding, and no person is identified.

Public record
45settled bets
22wins
23.2odds-implied expected wins
49%win rate
$79,330notional volume (USDC)
October 10, 2024first seen on-chain
Address0xde0463ea7f611b065e8ab06bbfbddad75e6dfa37
Settled bets45
Wins22
Odds-implied expected wins23.2
Win rate49%
Notional volume$79,330 USDC
CategoriesCulture Politics, Elections, World
First seen on-chainOctober 10, 2024

Wins vs. expectation. “Odds-implied expected wins” is simply the sum of the entry probabilities this wallet paid across its 45 settled bets — the number of wins the market itself priced in. This wallet won 22 against an expectation of 23.2. A gap in either direction is common and expected — small samples are noisy, and buying favorites or longshots shifts the baseline. On its own it is not evidence of anything, and it is presented here only as a descriptive statistic, never as a finding.

Recorded activity spans categories: Culture Politics, Elections, World.

Notice

This page describes public on-chain prediction-market activity associated with a wallet address. It is not an accusation, it identifies no person, and it asserts no coordination or wrongdoing. When RINGER publishes a coordination finding, it appears only in a human-reviewed Report.

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